MARKET OUTLOOK
Navigating a business landscape upended by the COVID-19 pandemic was the most significant challenge for AC Industrials since the group’s inception in 2016. Around the globe and in AC Industrials’ key markets, national lockdowns imposed to halt the spread of the disease disrupted supply chains, hindered manufacturing operations, and cratered demand.
The worldwide automotive industry, already challenged in 2019, faced further difficulties across its value chain. International travel, a lifeblood of the global economy, ground to a halt, dragging the wider aerospace industry. As a global business that operates in openly competitive markets, AC Industrials was disproportionately affected by these external factors vis-à-vis other Ayala subsidiaries.
On the domestic front, the Philippine automotive industry was similarly tested, with lockdowns impacting dealership operations across the country for extended periods of time. These restrictions, complicated further by weak consumer sentiment and reduced financing appetite from the banking community, resulted in 248,050 units sold in 2020 nationwide, a 40% drop from 2019. Prior to the pandemic, the automotive sector had grown by a compounded annual growth rate of 12% from 2009 to 2019.
In 2021, AC Industrials expects COVID-19 to continue to impact operations, especially in the first half of the year. Key markets such as the Philippines, Germany, the United Kingdom, and the United States remain under varying degrees of restriction until vaccines are substantially rolled out. Nevertheless, the global EMS sector, for example, is still expected to grow by a post-pandemic CAGR of five percent from 2020 to 2026. Meanwhile, the global automotive sector is projected to grow seven to nine percent up to 2022 while we see the Philippine auto market expanding by 12% through 2025, as it recovers from the steep downturn in 2020.